Listed below are the computations for 2006/2007 CE for the expected dates of New Moon visibility from Jerusalem, as well as the moladim (i.e., average time of astronomical conjunction) of the Calculated Rabbinical Calendar (CRC). The difference between the dates for the two calendars is also noted.
The possible projected dates for the Eternal's Appointed Times for 2006 are given in the tables below the New Moon listings. Due to the dependency on the state of the barley, we will be unsure of the correct start of the year until the 2006 abib report is received from Israel. Please check back for updates. We will post the abib information once it is received. We believe that the New Moon of March 30 is more probable than March 1 to head the new year. UPDATE: No aviv barley was found in Israel during searches at the end of February. The Holy Days should occur on the dates in the 2006 Appointed Times table below.
PLEASE NOTE: The "Visible Crescents" column dates are the dates on which the New Moon is expected to be seen--beginning at sunset of the listed day. All dates listed are to be reckoned from sunset of listed day and date through the next day at sunset in the following New Moon table. [If the VISIBLE CRESCENT column lists Thursday, March 30, for example, then the 1st day of that month by crescent is from sunset of March 30 through sunset of March 31. If the CRC's MOLAD column lists Wednesday, March 29, then by CRC's molad, it is from sunset of March 29 through sunset of March 30.]
New Moon |
Illumination & Lagtime |
Visible Crescents |
Confirmation | CRC Molad |
Difference |
|
11th |
3.33 % 86 min. |
Sunday, January 1 |
Heavy Clouds* |
10th |
Saturday, December 31 |
1 day |
12th |
1.74 % 65 min.. |
Monday, January 30 |
Sighted |
11th |
Sunday, January 29 |
1 day |
13th |
4.01 % 107 min. |
Wednesday, March 1 |
Sighted |
12th |
Tuesday, February 28 |
1 day |
1st |
2.26 % 81 min. |
Thursday, March 30 |
Sighted |
1st |
Wednesday, March 29 |
1 day |
2nd |
1.1 % 58 min. |
Friday, April 28 |
Heavy Clouds* |
2nd |
Friday, April 28 |
same |
3rd |
2.77 % 99 min. |
Sunday, May 28 |
Sighted |
3rd |
Saturday, May 27 |
1 day |
4th |
1.33 % 65 min. |
Monday, June 26 |
Sighted |
4th |
Monday, June 26 |
same |
5th |
2.26 % 64 min. |
Wednesday, July 26 |
Sighted |
5th |
Tuesday, July 25 |
1 day |
6th |
3.16 % 54 min. |
Friday, August 25 |
Sighted |
6th |
Thursday, August 24 |
1 day |
7th |
4.19 % 50 min. |
Sunday, September 24 |
Sighted |
7th |
Friday, September 22 |
2 days |
8th |
5.58 % 65 min. |
Tuesday, October 24 |
Sighted |
8th |
Sunday, October 22 |
2 days |
9th |
3.11 % 54 min. |
Wednesday, November 22 |
Sighted |
9th |
Tuesday, November 21 |
1 day |
10th |
4.92 % 107 min. |
Friday, December 22 |
Sighted |
10th |
Thursday, December 21 |
1 day |
11th |
2.84 % 87 min. |
Saturday, January 20 |
Heavy Clouds* |
11th |
Friday, January 19 |
1 day |
12th |
1.35 % 60 min. |
Sunday, February 18 |
Heavy Clouds* |
12th |
Sunday, February 18 |
same |
13th/1st |
3.7 % 105 min. |
Tuesday, March 20 |
Sighted |
1st |
Monday, March 19 |
1 day |
*Heavy Clouds blocked the view of the New Moon on these dates. On Sunday, January 1st, 2006, heavy cloud coverage in Israel blocked the sighting of the New Moon. As the prior New Moon (December 3, 2005), the calculated percentage of illumination and the amount of lagtime demonstrates that it would have been seen apart from the clouds. For Friday, April 28th, 2006, Roy Hoffmann of the Israeli New Moon Society reported, "Clouds and rain were reported from Beer Sheva, Kibbutz Saad, Kiryat Arba, Jerusalem and the Galilee. Were it not for the clouds, it is most likely but not certain that the Moon would have been seen. On Saturday 29th April 2006, the Moon was seen clearly from around Israel starting at 19:40 (UTC+3) from Kibbutz Saad." On Saturday, January 20th, 2007, Nehemia Gordon reported, "Observers across Israel reported heavy clouds and rain. With 2.85% illumination and 88 minutes lagtime visibility would have been certain had there not been clouds." On Sunday February 18, 2007 observers across Israel searched for the new moon but it was not sighted. Heavy cloud coverage was reported across the Land.
Event |
begins sunset of |
ends sunset of |
Passover |
Wednesday, April 12 |
Thursday, April 13 |
Feast of Unleavens (1st day) |
Thursday, April 13 |
Friday, April 14 |
Elevation Sheaf Day (aka "wavesheaf") | Saturday, April 15 |
Sunday, April 16 |
Feast of Unleavens (7th day) | Wednesday, April 19 |
Thursday, April 20 |
Pentecost | Saturday, June 3 |
Sunday, June 4 |
Day of Shouting (aka "Trumpets") | Sunday, September 24 |
Monday, September 25 |
Day of Atonement | Tuesday, October 3 |
Wednesday, October 4 |
Feast of Tabernacles (1st day) | Sunday, October 8 |
Monday, October 9 |
8th Day Assembly | Sunday, October 15 |
Monday, October 16 |
The Scriptures declare the New Year to begin with the New Moon of the abib--which is the stage of barley growth wherein the barley is in the ear and its seed remains when parched. The CRC's leap year (i.e., years with a 13th month) determination however is solely based upon the Metonic Cycle, and therefore has no true relation to the stage of growth of the barley in the Land of Israel. We will know for a surety when each year begins once the barley reports are received. Please check back for updates. If you would like to receive an email report of the search for abib-stage barley, you can sign up at Karaite Korner Abib/New Moon Reports
* molad - The CRC, contrary to what some may think, is not truly based on first visibilty of the moon after conjunction--it is based on the "molad." This Hebrew word means "birth," but the term in rabbinical calculated calendar usage refers to the average conjunction of the earth, moon, and sun (average length being 29.53059 days). The molad is not determined solely by finding the means conjunction however, as it is also affected by use of the Four Rules of Postponements. The molad may occur on the actual astronomical new moon (i.e., conjunction), but these two terms are not interchangable. The molad may also occur upon the first day of crescent visibility, or yet within a few days on either side of it (as evidenced in the chart above). In short, the molad is not consistent with any set phase of the lunar cycle.
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